Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.044836 0.048839 0.052901 0.057323 0.061996 0.066779 0.072038
2025-01-12 0.037970 0.043773 0.049883 0.056770 0.064290 0.072227 0.081210
2025-01-19 0.033557 0.040718 0.048511 0.057561 0.067721 0.078713 0.091446
2025-01-26 0.029220 0.037256 0.046281 0.057056 0.069457 0.083176 0.099388
2025-02-02 0.026102 0.034844 0.044948 0.057314 0.071859 0.088257 0.107965
2025-02-09 0.023960 0.033350 0.044487 0.058415 0.075109 0.094232 0.117544
2025-02-16 0.022797 0.032908 0.045171 0.060791 0.079809 0.101882 0.129099
2025-02-23 0.019704 0.029781 0.042347 0.058713 0.079018 0.102953 0.132863
2025-03-02 0.017625 0.027785 0.040775 0.058034 0.079799 0.105800 0.138663
2025-03-09 0.015907 0.026125 0.039509 0.057625 0.080820 0.108872 0.144692
2025-03-16 0.015306 0.025941 0.040128 0.059601 0.084812 0.115576 0.155154
2025-03-23 0.014413 0.025271 0.040040 0.060611 0.087558 0.120742 0.163760
2025-03-30 0.013459 0.024474 0.039770 0.061405 0.090088 0.125745 0.172329
2025-04-06 0.012180 0.023101 0.038629 0.060975 0.090998 0.128710 0.178396
2025-04-13 0.011436 0.022482 0.038503 0.061890 0.093655 0.133890 0.187263
2025-04-20 0.010346 0.021234 0.037403 0.061403 0.094414 0.136631 0.193065
2025-04-27 0.009572 0.020429 0.036896 0.061699 0.096191 0.140668 0.200517
2025-05-04 0.009097 0.020074 0.037025 0.062871 0.099141 0.146228 0.209931
2025-05-11 0.008993 0.020336 0.038082 0.065379 0.103933 0.154226 0.222526
2025-05-18 0.007773 0.018568 0.035946 0.063197 0.102223 0.153657 0.224072
2025-05-25 0.006997 0.017514 0.034857 0.062485 0.102498 0.155671 0.228937
2025-06-01 0.006349 0.016633 0.033990 0.062056 0.103136 0.158147 0.234397
2025-06-08 0.006247 0.016782 0.034787 0.064135 0.107334 0.165418 0.246179